By 2026, Papua New Guinea's cross-border e-commerce sales are projected to reach 1.2 billion USD, driven by increased internet access and smartphone adoption. The rise in digital shoppers, now over 3.8 million, indicates growing consumer confidence and expanding online retail platforms. Mobile commerce dominates, accounting for 65% of transactions, reflecting the country's mobile-first digital behavior. Despite infrastructure challenges, ongoing investments are improving logistics, facilitating smoother cross-border trade flows.
The average transaction value remains steady at around 150 USD, suggesting moderate spending patterns among consumers. E-commerce logistics infrastructure is still developing, with a current index rating of 45 out of 100, highlighting room for improvement in delivery networks. As digital literacy and payment options expand, Papua New Guinea is poised for a significant rise in cross-border online shopping, fostering economic growth and regional integration.